KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% · —
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Preço registado
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% 16.5%Líder entre 10 opções
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% 16.5%Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,7 mil €
Contratos em aberto
2,9 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 25 minutos
11/11/26, 22:30 UTC31/12/29, 21:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
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PolymarketRegras
If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX "between" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.
Regras de cada resultado
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.