Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026?
CriptoOne-OffTrade PolicyBusiness & CorporateIAFedPolíticaUS PoliticsEquities3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 65.4%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado5/01/26, 21:09 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the S&P 500 closes at or above 8,000 at any point during 2026.
- This market resolves NO if the S&P 500 never reaches 8,000 during 2026.
- Resolution will be verified using the official S&P 500 closing price from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) or Yahoo Finance.
- The S&P 500 closed at 6,858.47 on January 2, 2026, requiring approximately a 16.6% gain to reach 8,000.
- Wall Street strategists project an average 10.2% gain for 2026, though Oppenheimer is most bullish, seeing the index rising 17.8% to 8,100, while Bank of America expects the benchmark to hit 7,100 by year-end 2026.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 65% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria