Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUARegulamentaçãoAções2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 81.9%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado7/06/26, 22:18 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if a U.S. federal law is officially enacted (either signed by the President or passed via congressional veto override) on or before December 31, 2026, that legally prohibits members of the U.S. House of Representatives and/or the U.S. Senate from buying and/or selling individual, publicly traded stocks.
- To resolve the market to YES, the legislation must satisfy the following conditions:
- Enactment Date: The law must be officially enacted before January 1, 2027.
- The implementation or grace period for compliance (e.g., divestment deadlines) can extend beyond this date, as long as the bill is codified into law before the cutoff.
- Allowed Exemptions: A law will still qualify for a YES resolution if it permits members of Congress to invest in diversified assets (e.g., mutual funds, ETFs, index funds, treasury bills) or to utilize qualified blind trusts.