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Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
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Preço registado
Before Jan 1, 2027 29.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027 29.5%Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
9,2 mil €
Contratos em aberto
6,6 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
18/10/26, 23:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2027
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If the French government declares a state of emergency (état d'urgence) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from Bloomberg News, Reuters, the Associated Press, or Le Monde qualifies. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify unless the new publication explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of its publication date. Republishing of content from other sources qualifies only if hosted on the outlet’s official platform with that outlet identified as publisher. A state of emergency (état d'urgence) is one declared by decree of the President of France in the Council of Ministers under Law No. 55-385 of April 3, 1955, for all or part of French territory, including overseas territories. It counts when the decree is adopted, not when it is merely announced, requested or under consideration. Curfews, protest bans and other measures taken by prefects or mayors, Article 16 or state-of-siege powers, a state of health emergency (état d'urgence sanitaire), and natural-disaster declarations do not count.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the French government declares a state of emergency (état d'urgence) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the French government declares a state of emergency (état d'urgence) after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.