Probabilidade implícita atual
Reform UK 92%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
100 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
127,2 mil €
Liquidez
106,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
90.0% / 92.0%
Spread
2.2%
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
7/07/26, 14:451/09/27, 14:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Reform UK92%
Comparar plataformas· Reform UK
Ordenado por volume de 24h
Também disponível em Polymarket
Clacton by-election Winner
11m
91%
50%
50%
+49 mais resultados
100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total309,3 mil €
Volume 24h309,3 mil €
POLYMARKET
Também disponível em Smarkets
Clacton By-Election - Winner
0%
14.7%
0%
+4 mais resultados
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidez
Volume total17,5 mil €
Volume 24h17,5 mil €
SMARKETSRegras
If Reform UK wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$145.2k7 de jul.2d de dados8 de jul.
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If Reform UK wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.