KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 97%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
51 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,1 €
Liquidez
8,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
7/07/26, 23:00 UTC3/10/28, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PredictItWho will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsBrazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiBrazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiRegras
If the named outcome is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified.
- If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election??
- A Kalshi cota Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? é resolvido?
- Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de outubro de 2028.
- Como Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.