Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Flávio Bolsonaro 17.2%Líder entre 17 opções
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado2/02/24, 01:37 UTC6/01/31, 08:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?
KalshiWho will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PredictItBrazil 2026 Election: Who will participate in at least one televised Brazilian presidential debate?
Manifold MarketsBrazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiRegras
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2030 Brazilian presidential election.
- This market's closing date, currently 6 January 2031, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear.
- If no presidential election is held in Brazil in 2030, this market shall resolve to "the named outcome".
- I will not bet on this market.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Flávio Bolsonaro em 17% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election? é resolvido?
- Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election? deverá ser resolvido em 6 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2030 Brazilian presidential election.