Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoLatin America1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 54.8%
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado2/05/24, 13:02 UTC31/10/26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
The Brazilian municipal elections will take place in October 2024.
- A lot of attention is gathered around the São Paulo mayoral elections, as it is the biggest city in the country and can be a thermometer for the general public's political sentiment.
- Will the result of the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 presidential elections?
- The market resolves to YES if the results of both elections mimic each other, i.e., if a left-wing, right-wing, or centrist candidate is elected in both.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Related article:
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 55% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? é resolvido?
- Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The Brazilian municipal elections will take place in October 2024.