Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoLatin America1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 55%
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15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado12/01/26, 01:01 UTC28/10/26, 23:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
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PolymarketRegras
This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
- Do not bet on this market if that is going to bother you.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 55% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? é resolvido?
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? deverá ser resolvido em 28 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here: