Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim 15%
Qualidade do mercado
28 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
69,1 €
Liquidez
1,7 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
13.3%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
31/01/26, 15:004/10/27, 14:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes15%
Também disponível em Polymarket
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
1.0%3m
-0.0%12%
+0.0%88%
56 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total70,8 mil €
Volume 24h112 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.