Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoLatin America1m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 93%+1.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
79 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
10,2 mil €
Liquidez
68,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
33
Variação 7d
-5.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
18/09/25, 20:024/10/26, 0:00
Tendências
Regras
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 7%. As cotações diferem cerca de 6 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 7% · 2 plataformas · 6 pt de dispersao entre venues
