KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
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Preço registado
Before Apr 1, 2027 49%Líder entre 7 opções
Before Apr 1, 2027 49%Qualidade do mercado
26 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
88,9 €
Contratos em aberto
134 US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
16/10/26, 16:08 UTC1/04/27, 03:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Apr 1, 2027
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiWill Scott Bessent leave the position of Secretary of Treasury by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho of Howard Lutnick and Scott Bessent will be fired first?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Scott BessentThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe Department of the Treasurythe White HouseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Being considered for or named to another position does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Scott Bessent will cease to be Secretary of the Treasury. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
