KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
40.0 to 40.2 28.6%+21.0ptLíder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
78 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
32,5 mil €
Liquidez
26,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
18/09/26, 16:00 UTC25/09/26, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/18-9/25)
KalshiWhat will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 23?
PredictItTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Sept. 25?
PredictItTrump approval Up or Down this week?
PolymarketTrump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 615,5 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 mais resultados
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026??
- A Kalshi cota 40.0 to 40.2 em 29% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? é resolvido?
- Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 25 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.