How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
1.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffEleição12m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
38 or more 99%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
31 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
3,4 €
Liquidez
5,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
9/07/26, 18:50 UTC6/09/27, 14:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Landeswahlausschuss Sachsen-Anhalt
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election??
- A Kalshi cota 38 or more em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? é resolvido?
- How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? deverá ser resolvido em 6 de setembro de 2027.
- Como How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.