Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 55.3%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
8/09/26, 15:34 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
Manifold MarketsNext minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsNext Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiWhich Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent
KalshiWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if the AfD wins more than half of all seats in the Landtag in a snap election held before Jan 1, 2028.
- Resolves NO if a snap election is held in that window and the AfD wins half or fewer of the seats.
- Resolves N/A if no snap election is held by then.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 55% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? é resolvido?
- If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the AfD wins more than half of all seats in the Landtag in a snap election held before Jan 1, 2028.