KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Above 4.89% (99%)
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 28 de out. de 2026, 10:53 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Above 4.89%99%
Above 4.90%99%
Above 4.95%1%
Above 4.96%1%
Above 4.91%99%
Above 4.82%0%
Above 4.83%0%
Above 4.84%0%
Above 4.85%0%
Above 4.86%0%
Above 4.87%0%
Above 4.88%0%
Above 4.92%0%
Above 4.93%0%
Above 4.94%0%
Above 4.97%0%
Above 4.89%Ganhou
Above 4.90%Perdeu
Above 4.91%Perdeu
Above 4.95%Perdeu
Above 4.96%Perdeu
Above 4.82%Perdeu
Above 4.83%Perdeu
Above 4.84%Perdeu
Above 4.85%Perdeu
Above 4.86%Perdeu
Above 4.87%Perdeu
Above 4.88%Perdeu
Above 4.92%Perdeu
Above 4.93%Perdeu
Above 4.94%Perdeu
Above 4.97%Perdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketAtivos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.89% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Pyth - 7Y UST
- Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
Regras de cada resultado
- Above 4.89%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.89% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.90%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.90% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.91%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.91% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.95%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.95% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.96%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.96% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.82%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.82% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.83%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.83% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.84%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.84% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.85%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.85% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.86%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.86% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.87%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.87% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.88%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.88% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.92%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.92% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.93%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.93% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.94%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.94% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.97%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.97% at Oct 28, 2026 at 7:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.