Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição1a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualJ.D. Vance 78%Líder entre 34 opções
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,5 mil €
Liquidez
143,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
10.0% / 13.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
22/03/25, 14:001/01/28, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Donald J. Trump12%
Comparar plataformas· J.D. Vance
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 78% | — | 1,5 mil € | 143,6 mil € | há 16 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets88% de correspondência · verificado | — | 84% | — | — | — | há 16 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
1a
83.5%
60.9%
59.1%
+18 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade59 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
Vance announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald J.
- Trump announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tulsi Gabbard announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$1.7k2 de jul.27d de dados28 de jul.
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Vance announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald J.
- Trump announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tulsi Gabbard announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.