Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / UkraineChinaEurope4m
GeminiKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosProbabilidade implícita atual
Viktor Orbán 100%Líder entre 35 opções
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
85,6 €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoTraders
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 29 minutos
8/04/26, 20:341/01/27, 0:00
Tendências
Regras
For each listed world leader, this market resolves Yes if they officially announce their intention to leave office or actually leave office before Jan 1, 2027.
- If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of New Zealand or has actually left Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency.
- Temporary absences do not count.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm Keir Starmer 100% · 2 plataformas · faixa de 0 pt
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Keir Starmer 100%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? · Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%
