GeminiKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual
Democratic Party 57.8%Ajustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
69,7 €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaCompra / Venda
59.0% / 60.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoTraders
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
23/12/25, 16:08 UTC1/02/27, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Michigan
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 U.S. Senate Election in Oregon?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Virginia?
Manifold Markets2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiOhio Senate Election Winner
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. Senate following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the Senate based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 51 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government, including consideration of the Vice President’s tie-breaking role.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
4 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Democratic Party é de 60%. As cotações diferem cerca de 1 ponto percentual entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 60% · 4 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Limitless — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. Senate? · Democratic Party 59%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 615,5 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 mais resultados
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- A Gemini cota Democratic Party em 58% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which party will win the U.S. Senate? é resolvido?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Which party will win the U.S. Senate? é liquidado?
- A Gemini liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- Onde mais Which party will win the U.S. Senate? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket.