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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

0.1% (24u)One-OffTrade PolicyUS Politics18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 3%
Marktkwaliteit

40 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 11,5K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

2.0% / 3.5%

Spread

75.0%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-1.3%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

17 dec 25, 21:1230 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes3%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
  • A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Macrogevoelige Assets

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
  • A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.