PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: October 31
Afgewikkeld: 8 sep 2026, 08:35
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Winnende Uitkomst
October 31
Op 7 dagen afstand
—
Op 24 uur afstand
98%
ConsensusWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 9 sep 2026, 07:07 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
July 310%
October 31100%
October 31Gewonnen
May 31Verloren
July 31Verloren
August 31Verloren
February 28Verloren
March 31Verloren
April 30Verloren
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.