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Gegevens van 8 sep 2026, 19:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
October 31 52%+1.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
30 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 4,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
- / 0.1%
Reacties
0
7d wijziging
-19.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
6 aug 26, 00:16 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Open markten
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 473K
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
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- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
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+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Russia capture Shevchenko by which date??
- Polymarket prijst October 31 op 52% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Russia capture Shevchenko by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Will Russia capture Shevchenko by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Russia capture Shevchenko by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.