PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 31 41%-4.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
63 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 4,4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
40.0% / 41.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-1.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
30 jun 26, 17:19 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (50.335310° N, 36.195107° E) located in Kozacha Lopan, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.