PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 31 41%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
66 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 13K
Liquiditeit
€ 3,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
142
7d wijziging
+11.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
4 nov 25, 20:42 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Vovchansk by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Vovchansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- If the territory of municipality is shaded light grey, and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Vovchanski Khutory" with a darker grey line.
- If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Once Russia captures Vovchansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.