Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026?
GeopolitiekOne-OffTechRussia / Ukraine1mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd24 aug 26, 09:30 UTC31 okt 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves based on the "Russian Net Monthly Advance" report of Black Bird group (positive values resolve NO, negative resolve YES) - typically published at their X account (xcancel.com/Black_BirdGroup).
- Here is their assessment as of May 2026 (from https://xcancel.com/Black_BirdGroup/status/2062585511340916856):
- [image]For context some analysts like Mike Kofman (e.g. in https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-long-game-with-jake-sullivan-and-jon-finer/id1850526014?i=1000771130026) believe that Ukraine has gained initiative on the battlefield and is likely to keep it for the next few months.
- If the group does not publish a new assessment following the same methodology by December 1st, this resolves NA
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 89% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves based on the "Russian Net Monthly Advance" report of Black Bird group (positive values resolve NO, negative resolve YES) - typically published at their X account (xcancel.com/Black_BirdGroup).