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  3. How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

0.3% (24u)SpaceYearly6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
<5
<5 53%-4.0%
Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

64 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 273,7

Liquiditeit

€ 36,2K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

2.2% / 7.1%

Spread

222.7%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-0.3%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden

12 dec 25, 0:4531 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

<553%

KalshiOok beschikbaar op Kalshi

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

5.0%6mnd
2
2
-5.0%2%
8
8
-4.0%1%
7
7
2%

+7 extra uitkomsten

28 • Lage kwaliteitBrede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 47,9
24u volume€ 0,4
KalshiKALSHI

Regels

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
  • Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
  • However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
  • Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
  • However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.