Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
5 or more 27%+1.5%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
60
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 27 minuten geleden
2 aug 25, 1:1331 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
5 or more27%
Platforms vergelijken· 3 or more
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste algemeen82% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Gemiddeld | 51% | — | € 861,9 | € 14,1K | 27 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Polymarket82% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Gemiddeld | 67% | — | € 745,3 | € 16,3K | 7 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Kalshi80% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Laag | 88% | — | € 0 | € 2,3K | 27 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Limitless82% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 66% | — | € 0 | € 0 | 27 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 89% | — | — | — | 27 minuten geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
7.5%5mnd
+7.5%67%
-5.5%19%
-0.6%11%
+5 extra uitkomsten
52 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 430,3K
24u volume€ 745,3
POLYMARKETOok beschikbaar op Kalshi
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
1.0%5mnd
51%
18%
+2.0%16%
+7 extra uitkomsten
52 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 22,4K
24u volume€ 861,9
KALSHIOok beschikbaar op Limitless
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5mnd
66.3%
19.3%
11.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
28 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 21,6
24u volume€ 0
LIMITLESSOok beschikbaar op Kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5mnd
88%
71%
38%
+7 extra uitkomsten
49 • Lage kwaliteitGematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 2,9K
24u volume€ 0
KALSHIRegels
Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$1.3k8 jul17d aan data26 jul
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Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end