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  3. By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
Manifold Markets

By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?

TechYearlySpace6mnd
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsGeen KYC
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Manifold Markets
4 (all flight #s are on or before) 0%
Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers

65

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden

22 mrt 24, 17:571 jan 27, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
Manifold Markets
4 (all flight #s are on or before)
0%
Manifold Markets
5
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

121%

Regels

An orbit around earth is defined as having a perigee above 100 km.

Manifold Markets
  • All past flights have targeted perigees with negative values (inside the surface of the earth).
  • So when do you think Starship will have a perigee above 100km?
  • This obviously assumes Starship is in one piece and flying nominally when it reaches this orbit.
  • If a piece of debris once belonging to Starship happens to reach orbit it will not count (resolve NO).
  • Starship must actually fly to orbit if it is targeted so if orbit is not reached in flight this market resolves NO.

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Regels

An orbit around earth is defined as having a perigee above 100 km.

Manifold Markets
  • All past flights have targeted perigees with negative values (inside the surface of the earth).
  • So when do you think Starship will have a perigee above 100km?
  • This obviously assumes Starship is in one piece and flying nominally when it reaches this orbit.
  • If a piece of debris once belonging to Starship happens to reach orbit it will not count (resolve NO).
  • Starship must actually fly to orbit if it is targeted so if orbit is not reached in flight this market resolves NO.