FutuurBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 84%
Nee 84%Marktkwaliteit
35 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,6K
Lage liquiditeitHandelaren
7
Reacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? (No) → SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRegels
This market predicts whether SpaceX will successfully demonstrate in-orbit refueling of a Starship vehicle during calendar year 2026.
- If, during this period, SpaceX successfully transfers at least 1 metric ton of propellant from one Starship vehicle to another Starship vehicle while both are in Earth orbit, and the transfer is publicly confirmed by SpaceX as a successful propellant transfer, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The Primary Designated Source is SpaceX's official communications (spacex.com, X account @SpaceX, official mission webcasts), supported by NASA and FAA mission reports where applicable.
- A consensus of credible reporting by reliable news outlets chosen at Futuur’s discretion may be used to confirm the demonstration.
- In ambiguous edge cases, resolution will follow the spirit of the question.