PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
0.2% 37.9%+2.5ptKoploper van 7 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
54 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 205,9
Liquiditeit
€ 4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
5.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
11 sep 26, 15:29 UTC15 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Argentina inflation rate MoM for September
KalshiPPI MoM in September
KalshiCore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiCore CPI YoY - September 2026
PolymarketWill November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 3% in September 2026?
ForecastExRegels
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — CPI core month-over-month in Sep 2026? · Exactly 0.3% 91%
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 128,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,5 mln.
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Totaal volume
- € 8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 95,8K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 29K
- 24u volume
- € 29K
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 40,3K
- 24u volume
- € 6,1K
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Core CPI MoM - September 2026?
- Polymarket prijst 0.2% op 38% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Core CPI MoM - September 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Core CPI MoM - September 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 15 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Core CPI MoM - September 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Waar wordt Core CPI MoM - September 2026 nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.