PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
2.4% 34.7%+2.5ptKoploper van 10 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
54 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 299,2
Liquiditeit
€ 7,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
11 sep 26, 15:30 UTC15 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 128,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,5 mln.
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Totaal volume
- € 8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 95,8K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 29K
- 24u volume
- € 29K
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 40,3K
- 24u volume
- € 6,1K
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Core CPI YoY - September 2026?
- Polymarket prijst 2.4% op 35% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Core CPI YoY - September 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Core CPI YoY - September 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 15 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Core CPI YoY - September 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Waar wordt Core CPI YoY - September 2026 nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.