Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 50.5%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd26 jun 26, 01:28 UTC10 dec 26, 13:29 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiWill September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketCore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiRegels
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for November 2026 reports that the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) all items less food and energy, seasonally adjusted, rose at least 0.3% from October 2026 to November 2026.
- Resolve NO if the initial BLS release reports a seasonally adjusted all items less food and energy CPI-U month-over-month change of 0.2% or lower, including 0.0% or a decline.
- Use the official BLS CPI news release or its tables for November 2026 as the primary source, specifically the seasonally adjusted Table A row for all items less food and energy.
- Do not use headline/all-items CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE, PPI, non-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, real earnings, or later annual revisions.
- If BLS corrects the initial November 2026 CPI release before this market is resolved, use the corrected BLS release.
- Scheduled source context: BLS calendar lists Consumer Price Index, November 2026, at 08:30 AM Eastern on December 10, 2026; the calendar note says all times are Eastern Time.
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 541,2K
- 24u volume
- € 30,7K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 334,2K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 77,9K
- 24u volume
- € 5,5K
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 51% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? afgewikkeld?
- Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? wordt naar verwachting op 10 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for November 2026 reports that the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) all items less food and energy, seasonally adjusted, rose at least 0.3% from October 2026 to November 2026.