Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 65%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd18 mrt 22, 12:21 UTC31 dec 49, 04:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Assuming a potential future World War scenario, how will the three main powers align?
Manifold MarketsWhich will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3?
Manifold Marketswill world war 3 start before GTA Vi?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketRegels
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2534/will-there-be-a-world-war-three-before-2050/
- Expected to resolve around Dec 31, 2049.
- Closes 5 years prior.
- Close date updated to 2049-12-30 11:59 pm
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 581,3K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 55,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 96,8K
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 65% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2049 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2534/will-there-be-a-world-war-three-before-2050/