Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3?
GeopolitiekManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingThird World War 51%
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd9 apr 24, 13:44 UTC1 jan 01, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Will the United States break out into a civil war first? Or will a the named outcome break out first?
- Resolves to whichever is considered to happen first, according to things like news outlets, Wikipedia, other bets, etc. For example, if https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-there-be-a-civil-war-in-the-un resolves to Yes first, I would most likely resolve this to Yes for Civil War 2:
- "Civil War" means any large scale military action taken by some part of the country against some other part of the country.
- This could be military vs. civilian, military vs. military, or civilian vs. civilian.
- Actual violence must be involved, not just threats. "Large scale" means that it takes place in more than one city and each side has the support of a significant fraction of the country.
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3??
- Manifold Markets prijst Third World War op 51% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3? afgewikkeld?
- Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2101 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Will the United States break out into a civil war first? Or will a the named outcome break out first?