Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 60%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd18 okt 23, 04:06 UTC2 jan 35, 07:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
The typical defition of war; at least 1000 combatant deaths.
- It doesn't have to be solely fought over AI, but AI must be a significant cause.
- Update 2025-06-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In a scenario involving robot combat, the 1000 combatant deaths can consist of:
- Machines that are generally believed to be sentient
Open markten
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- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
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+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 470,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
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- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be a war over AI before 2035??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 60% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be a war over AI before 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be a war over AI before 2035? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2035 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be a war over AI before 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The typical defition of war; at least 1000 combatant deaths.