Will the US have 5 consecutive days of active military operations in Venezuela at any point in 2026?
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Verouderd3 jan 26, 20:56 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if there are 5 straight days of active military operations.
- Resolves in the spirit of the question: the intent of this question is to gauge whether the conflict will escalate beyond sporadic brief (1 night) operations into a more prolonged conflict.
- Things like airstrikes, deployments of ground forces and vehicles who are firing live ammunition, raids on facilities, drone strikes, etc, would count.
- Things like patrols of boats within Venezuelan waters, presence of a special forces team that isn't actively engaged in live fire, or spy planes flying overhead would NOT count.
- Please do not attempt to pedantically litigate in the comments whether some US action constitutes "active military operations".
- If there's doubt as to whether it does, it probably won't count for this question.
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- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the US have 5 consecutive days of active military operations in Venezuela at any point in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 78% per 8 september 2026.
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- Will the US have 5 consecutive days of active military operations in Venezuela at any point in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
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- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if there are 5 straight days of active military operations.