Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?
One-OffGeopolitiekAmerikaanse politiekPolitiek2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.3%
Voorspellers
28
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd25 jan 26, 16:01 UTC20 jan 29, 17:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
KalshiWill Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
KalshiWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS acquires part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Will the United States, by 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on January 20, 2029, have taken steps that place Greenland or part of it under U.S. governing authority?
- For purposes of this market, “part of Greenland” means a defined geographic area of Greenlandic land territory together with the civilian population ordinarily residing there.
- The exercise of authority limited solely to any of the following does not, by itself, constitute being “in charge of part of Greenland”:
- Airspace, territorial waters, exclusive economic zones, or maritime navigation
- Ports, harbors, or customs facilities absent broader civil governance of the surrounding land area
- Security zones, exclusion zones, or access controls established solely for military or diplomatic purposes