Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97.2%
Voorspellers
144
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd7 jan 26, 11:13 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
KalshiWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control part of Greenland in 2026?
FutuurWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
LimitlessWill the US take control of any part of Greenland?
KalshiWill Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, the United States acquires sovereignty or primary/exclusive jurisdiction or control over any defined land territory in Greenland through a binding legal instrument (e.g., treaty, enacted legislation, or executive action), including via force.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
- Only binding actions that unambiguously transfer sovereignty or establish primary/exclusive U.S. jurisdiction qualify, even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
- Non-binding statements, negotiations, MOUs, basing/access agreements, SOFA/COFA-type arrangements, leases, or commercial concessions do not qualify.
- Any U.S. rights or control existing at market creation (Jan 7, 2026, 3:11 PT) will not count.
- The primary resolution source will be official statements or legal instruments from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 90%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Ook beschikbaar op PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes 50%
