Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97%
Voorspellers
144
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 23 minuten geleden
7 jan 26, 11:1331 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, the United States acquires sovereignty or primary/exclusive jurisdiction or control over any defined land territory in Greenland through a binding legal instrument (e.g., treaty, enacted legislation, or executive action), including via force.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
- Only binding actions that unambiguously transfer sovereignty or establish primary/exclusive U.S. jurisdiction qualify, even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
- Non-binding statements, negotiations, MOUs, basing/access agreements, SOFA/COFA-type arrangements, leases, or commercial concessions do not qualify.
- Any U.S. rights or control existing at market creation (Jan 7, 2026, 3:11 PT) will not count.
- The primary resolution source will be official statements or legal instruments from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 86%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 93%
- Ook beschikbaar op PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 94%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
Open markten
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 55,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 279K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt60%
- October 31-0.5pt35%
- September 30-1.0pt17%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- No-0.1pt99%
- Yes+0.1pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 68,3K
POLYMARKETIran full airspace closure by which date?
- December 3128%
- September 30+1.5pt9%
- June 30+0.3pt0%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US acquires part of Greenland in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 97% per 4 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, the United States acquires sovereignty or primary/exclusive jurisdiction or control over any defined land territory in Greenland through a binding legal instrument (e.g., treaty, enacted legislation, or executive action), including via force.
- Waar wordt US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Futuur, Polymarket, PredictIt, Limitless, Manifold Markets.