Zullen Trump/de VS Groenland kopen of een deel ervan verwerven?
BedrijfsactiesOne-OffAmerikaanse politiek2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.4%
Voorspellers
1,270
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd7 jan 25, 16:02 UTC21 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Frederiksen/Denmark buy or acquire part of the US?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
LimitlessWill the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen this year 2026? ( Trump and USA related)
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will the USA pass legislation to leave NATO by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Donald Trump has expressed interest in purchasing at least part of Greenland.
- If the United States acquires at least part of Greenland before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves YES.
- Update 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Acquisition Criteria:
- The market will resolve YES if Greenland becomes a US territory or if the US government or one of its constituent agencies acquires any portion of Greenland.
- This acquisition must involve government ownership of the land, not merely private or academic entities (for example, a science lab established by Harvard University does not qualify).
- Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator emphasizes that this market is about whether Greenland or a meaningful portion of it becomes part of America, not about minor acquisitions like a single building or small plot of land.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? · Before January 21, 2029 20%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 98%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
