Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"?
RegelgevingOne-OffAI3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 64.9%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd1 jul 26, 00:38 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
A new unique model so not opus, sonnet, haiku, fable etc
- Resolution criteria
- Target Model: This market resolves based on the first brand-new, uniquely named Claude model tier or family released by Anthropic after July 1, 2026.
- To qualify, the model must use a completely new class/tier name (e.g., if Anthropic releases "Claude 6 Sonnet" or "Fable 6", it does not count).
- It must not belong to the Opus, Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos families.
- Definition of "Banned": The model will resolve YES if, within 90 days of its official public release (via API or web interface), any of the following occur:
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 65% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"? afgewikkeld?
- Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: A new unique model so not opus, sonnet, haiku, fable etc