Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
One-OffRegelgevingPolitiekUS Politics3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.5%
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd15 feb 26, 11:44 UTC30 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if prediction markets are banned in the United States before 31 December 2026.
- A ban is defined as a federal prohibition that prevents the operation of prediction market platforms or makes it illegal for U.S. residents to trade on prediction markets.
- State-level bans or restrictions do not trigger a YES resolution.
- The market resolves NO if prediction markets continue to operate legally under federal CFTC oversight through 31 December 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the CFTC, Congress, or federal courts establishing a nationwide ban.
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
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- 24u volume
- € 90,5K
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
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- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,8 mln.
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- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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- Totaal volume
- € 877K
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,5K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 96% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 30 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria