Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.6%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd29 sep 25, 20:59 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Will direct-to-consumer (DTC) pharmaceutical advertisements (pharma ads) on television (TV) be banned in the United States by the end of 2026?
- Resolves YES if any of the following are true at 11:59pm on Dec 31, 2026:
- ads are banned by act of Congress
- ads are banned by executive order
- ads are banned by federal regulation
- any of the above bans has been made but is under a judicial stay at the specified time
Open markten
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.2pt94%
- Yes-1.2pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 263K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-10.0pt69%
- December 15,-13.5pt65%
- November 30,-12.0pt49%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt88%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt83%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+9.0pt34%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+6.0pt27%
- Before Apr 1, 202717%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7 mln.
KALSHIWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Before Jan 1, 202878%
- Before Jul 1, 202733%
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
- Totaal volume
- € 13K
- 24u volume
- € 8,1K
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027-16.1pt62.6%
- 8–11B+6.7pt10.1%
- 11–14B-0.1pt8.1%
+5 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Will direct-to-consumer (DTC) pharmaceutical advertisements (pharma ads) on television (TV) be banned in the United States by the end of 2026?