KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 1, 2027 4%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
51 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 3,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 912,4
Lage liquiditeitSpread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
17 sep 26, 00:00 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026?
PredictItWhen will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch?
Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
FutuurRegels
If legislation requiring AI kill switches has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying federal law must require a technical capability to halt or disable an AI model or system when needed to address safety or security risks or loss of control.
- This may be implemented through shutdown, suspension, or cutting off the resources or access the system needs to operate.
- Control may remain with the company; government authority to activate it is not required.
- A general power to ban AI development or deployment does not qualify without a required technical shutdown capability.
- The capability need not be activated before the deadline.
Open markten
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-2.3pt93%
- Yes+2.3pt7%
- Totaal volume
- € 18,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 549,7K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt27.8%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+12.0pt25.8%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt13.4%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+0.5pt84%
- November 30,+6.0pt79%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+47.0pt95%
- Before Sep 1, 2027-5.0pt58%
- Before April 1, 2027+1.0pt48%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt87%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt82%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Jersey Mike's99%
- Shein98%
- Oura-1.0pt96%
+26 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 12,1K
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Senate passes Clarity Act by which date?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law??
- Kalshi prijst Before Jan 1, 2027 op 4% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law? afgewikkeld?
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If legislation requiring AI kill switches has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.