Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026?
GeopolitiekOne-OffEntertainmentRussia / Ukraine2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 99%
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd18 jul 26, 16:24 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met:
- On 12 August 2026, the Russia–Ukraine war officially ends through a peace agreement signed in Kharkiv.
- By 1 December 2026, Russia is replaced by a newly established Eurasian Union formed together with post-Soviet states.
- Relations between the United States and the new Eurasian Union have measurably improved compared with earlier in 2026.
- On 1 December 2026, the final broadcast in Azerbaijan is the film Stalin's Head.
- On the same day in Russia, private television channels broadcast Tri Bogatyry i Morskoy Tsar, children's channels broadcast episode 72 of Skazochny Patrol, and Russia's Patriotic March is played.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+1.1pt99%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 860,6K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 extra uitkomsten
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- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
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- € 58,7 mln.
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- December 31+0.4pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt35%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
+17 extra uitkomsten
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- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+2.0pt12%
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- September 25+2.0pt88%
- September 23+7.0pt76%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 99% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 30 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met: