Manifold MarketsGeen KYCHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingAnother pope uses the papal name Peter 20.9%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 28 dagen geleden
Verouderd2 jan 24, 21:4431 dec 00, 22:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Another pope uses the papal name Peter21%
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KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
Regels
I'll resolve this to "the papacy is abolished" if, ten years after the death or resignation or deposition of a pope, a successor hasn't been elected and there are no active plans to elect one.
- Update 2025-05-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In the event of a schism:
- The denomination with more than 50% of the sum of adherents to all denominations descended from the 2024 Catholic Church will be considered "Catholic" for the purposes of this market.
- If no single denomination meets this >50% threshold, the market will resolve as "The papacy is abolished".