KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Luis Antonio Tagle 5%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
59 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 4,3
Liquiditeit
€ 23K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
0.8 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
18 jul 25, 14:00 UTC1 jan 70, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Peter Thiel become the next Pope? (Pope Thiel)
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
PredictItDonald Trump becomes a Pope-like figure?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the named outcome becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Totaal volume
- € 56,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 13K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-49.0pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 10,5K
- 24u volume
- € 9,5K
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.0pt90%
- Yes-1.0pt10%
- Totaal volume
- € 797,5
- 24u volume
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Totaal volume
- € 673,9
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
- Yes70%
- No30%
- Totaal volume
- € 16,5K
- 24u volume
- € 94,9
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1
- 24u volume
- —
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will the next Pope be??
- Kalshi prijst Luis Antonio Tagle op 5% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will the next Pope be? afgewikkeld?
- Who will the next Pope be? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2070 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will the next Pope be? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the named outcome becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.