Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingU.S. 55%
Voorspellers
25
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd28 jun 25, 19:10 UTC31 dec 27, 20:07 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in 2026?
PredictItRegels
Resolves to the country Pope Leo XIV first visits.
- If he doesn't visit any of the two while being Pope, resolves N/A.
Open markten
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Totaal volume
- € 56,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 13,3K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No75%
- Yes25%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,6K
- 24u volume
- € 5,6K
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 118K
- 24u volume
- € 64,5
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.5pt89.1%
- Yes-1.5pt10.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 798,3
- 24u volume
- —
POLYMARKETVatican III in 2026?
- No-0.1pt91%
- Yes+0.1pt9%
- Totaal volume
- € 8,9
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSCatholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- No85.7%
- Yes14.3%
- Totaal volume
- € 793,6
- 24u volume
- —
- Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine??
- Manifold Markets prijst U.S. op 55% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine? afgewikkeld?
- Will Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves to the country Pope Leo XIV first visits.