Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 78.9%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd25 feb 25, 05:09 UTC5 mrt 50, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
Resolves YES if an ecumenical council is convened by the pope following Pope Francis (An ecumenical council in any location is enough to resolve this as YES.
- It does not have to happen in Vatican City, and does not have to be called "Vatican 3." The name is just making reference to Vatican 2, the most recent ecumenical council).
- Resolves N/A if Pope Francis convenes an ecumenical council, or there's somehow no new pope before 2040.
Open markten
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Totaal volume
- € 56,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 12,6K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No96%
- Yes-76.0pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 8,4K
- 24u volume
- € 7,4K
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 118K
- 24u volume
- € 63,7
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Totaal volume
- € 674,4
- 24u volume
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSGutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Yes55.3%
- No44.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,8K
- 24u volume
- —
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the next pope convene Vatican 3??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 79% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the next pope convene Vatican 3? afgewikkeld?
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3? wordt naar verwachting op 5 maart 2050 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the next pope convene Vatican 3? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if an ecumenical council is convened by the pope following Pope Francis (An ecumenical council in any location is enough to resolve this as YES.