Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
One-OffSociety & Culture
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Human walks on Mars 74.2%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
49
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd28 dec 23, 19:04 UTC2 jan 50, 04:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
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KalshiRegels
Will resolve each event to a percentage as they happen, starting with 10% and working upward as follows:
- 1st event: 10% (happens soonest)
- 2nd event: 20%
- 10th event: 100% (happens latest)
- If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.
Open markten
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,9K
- 24u volume
- € 25,3K
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- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,8K
- 24u volume
- € 5,8K
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,1K
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Totaal volume
- € 18,1K
- 24u volume
- € 989,4
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- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,4K
- 24u volume
- € 952,4
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
- € 247
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