Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.8%
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15
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
18 nov 25, 16:43 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
The authors of If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: Why Superhuman AI Would Kill Us All are calling for a march in Washington DC (the "Don't Build It march") to call for an international treaty to ban the development of Artificial Superintelligence.
- The organizers are collecting pledges with the wording "If 100,000 other people also pledged to march in DC, I will attend that march", with the stated intention of only scheduling the march if they receive 100,000 such pledges.
- Will the march happen before the end of 2026?
- I will not bet on this market.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 581,3K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
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- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
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- 24u volume
- € 96,8K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 90% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The authors of If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: Why Superhuman AI Would Kill Us All are calling for a march in Washington DC (the "Don't Build It march") to call for an international treaty to ban the development of Artificial Superintelligence.